USDJPY move above 100 hour MA fails. Can it stay below the level now?

38.2% retracement also near the 100 hour MA
The USDJPY moved above a swing area at 106.35 to 106.44. Those levels were swing lows for April. They were broken to the downside yesterday on the way to a low at 105.978 (call it 106.00).  Today, the low was just above that level and the price has