USDCNH Weakens As China Data Bounces Back

Yuan Rallies on Better DataThe Chinese Yuan is rallying today on the back of better-than-expected data and a fresh set of economic support measures delivered overnight. The Caixin manufacturing PMI was seen moving back into positive territory last month at 51 from 49.2 prior, above the 49 the market was looking for. The unexpected move back into growth for the factory sector has helped assuage economic fears somewhat. Recent data has been trending lower, stoking concerns for the health of the economy. In response to deteriorating economic data, Chinese authorities have announced a string of measures aimed at sparking growth.PBoC Cuts FX RRRThe PBoC announced today that it will be lowering the FX reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 2% from September 15th. This comes on the back of the bank recently reducing the loan prime rate (LPR) for the second time in three months. While encouraging, these measures fall short of the sweeping fiscal stimulus package that traders have been eyeing and as such, any upside CNH moves are likely to be short lived. Today the US jobs report holds the power to drive a fresh leg higher in USDCNH if we see any surprise upside. However, if weakness is confirmed in the jobs market, this should see the current USDCNH correction continue lower.Technical ViewsUSDCNHThe correction lower from the 7.3585 highs has seen the market stalling along support at 7.2636. While this level holds, and with the rising trend line adding further support, the focus remains on further upside near-term. Should we break below here, the focus will shift to a test of the 7.1743 level next.