US October ISM services 51.8 vs 53.0 expected
<ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/us-september-ism-services-536-vs-536-expected-20231004/" target="_blank" rel="follow">Prior </a>was 53.6</li></ul><p>Details:</p><ul><li>employment index 50.2 versus 53.4 prior</li><li>new orders index 55.5 versus 51.8 prior</li><li>prices paid index 58.6 versus 58.9 prior </li><li>new export orders 48.8 versus 63.7 prior</li><li>imports 60.0 versus 50.6 prior</li><li>backlog of orders 50.9 versus 48.6 prior</li><li>inventories 49.5 versus 54.2 prior</li><li>supplier deliveries 47.5 versus 50.4 prior</li><li>inventory sentiment 54.4 versus 54.8 prior</li></ul><p>Comments in the report:</p><ul><li>“In general, commodity prices are coming down, but some categories,
especially labor, are still elevated and will remain so for the
immediate future. Suppliers are citing increased labor costs — wages,
salaries and benefits — as the biggest reason for their price
increases.” [Accommodation & Food Services]</li><li>“Strength in certain construction sectors is leading to continued
optimism. Construction equipment and materials are at generally at lower
prices and with faster deliveries. However, this is not the case for
all materials or equipment; some prices remain high and with long lead
(times).” [Construction]</li><li>“Currently, we are continuing as normal. If the economy takes a
downturn, that will have a negative effect on our revenue. We are also
leery of potential increases in fuel costs due in part to the unrest in
the Middle East. If fuel costs rise, it will have a negative impact on
our budget as we strive to continue normal operations on our campus.”
[Educational Services]</li><li>“Labor pressures continue, particularly in areas that are hard to
recruit. Filling front-line and lower-skill labor positions has gotten
very expensive because of competition from large companies and logistics
providers. Also, middle management roles are harder to recruit for than
they have been in some years.” [Health Care & Social Assistance]</li><li>“With (a supplier’s) labor dispute resolved; we’re expecting a
return to the same delivery speeds before it started in July. We are in
our busy season, and it’s especially busy this year compared to last
fall.” [Information]</li><li>“We are taking a cautious approach due to the increase in crude oil
prices. Capital projects have been slowed or postponed until oil prices
stabilize. We expect this approach to continue through fiscal year
2024.” [Management of Companies & Support Services]</li><li>“Due to the Israel-Hamas war, communications with clients in the
Middle East are pretty much shut down.” [Professional, Scientific &
Technical Services]</li><li>“The United Auto Workers (UAW) strike is having no impact so far — our inventory is in good position for now.” [Retail Trade]</li><li>“The general outlook for our organization is less positive than
anticipated from the beginning of the year. Performance expectations
were revised upward after a strong start to the year, and the results
are not expected to be as high as the revised projections. Performance
is impacted in part by our customers’ ability to fill our warehouses
with product, and it seems the food manufacturing industry is still
working toward increasing output, which has lagged a bit since the
pandemic.” [Transportation & Warehousing]</li><li>“Business conditions have become murky as of late, but still going
strong. However, certain business units are needing to be reevaluated.”
[Utilities]</li><li>“The UAW strike and potential government shutdown have created risk
and caution for our customers who have pulled back on purchases
beginning this month.” [Wholesale Trade]</li></ul><p>The jobs report and ISM services data were both weak today. Combined with the Fed comments this week and some other releases, the market is clearly signaling a top in Fed funds and a downturn in the economy.</p><p>One positive part of the report was the rebound in new orders.</p>
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
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