Market Update – September 25 – Yen breached 11-month low
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<p>Stock markets traded mixed across <strong>Asia,</strong> with China bourses underperforming as concern over the health of the property sector resurfaced. <strong><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-evergrande-unable-meet-qualifications-issuance-new-notes-2023-09-25/">Evergrande</a> </strong>-20.91% -Sales not as expected, unable to issue new notes under its debt restructuring plan. European futures and US futures are lower. The “<em><strong>higher for longer</strong></em>” message continues to weigh on sentiment and while the US may be heading for a soft landing, Europe is clearly struggling. The rise in energy prices is not helping. The 10-year Treasury yield is currently up 2.8 bp, the 10-year Bund yield 1.0 bp. <b>EU escalates China tensions </b>with probe to ward off cheap EPS and warns China it will be more assertive on ‘fair trade’. Republicans struggle to unite around a plan to avert <strong>shutdown.</strong></p>
<p>A full, lengthy shutdown of the US government is “likely” at the end of the month and could leave the Fed reluctant to raise interest rates in November.</p>
<p><a href="https://forextraderhub.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-733050" src="https://forextraderhub.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39.jpg" alt="" srcset="/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39.jpg 1303w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39-300×57.jpg 300w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39-1024×193.jpg 1024w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39-768×145.jpg 768w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39-696×131.jpg 696w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-25_09-56-39-1068×202.jpg 1068w" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>FX – USDIndex</strong> has lifted <span>105.30.</span> <strong>EURUSD </strong>and <strong>GBPUSD</strong> are <span>1.0640 <span>and</span> 1.2245<span> respectively.</span></span> The <strong>Yen</strong> sold off and <strong>USDJPY</strong> lifted again to <span>148.45.</span></li>
<li><strong>Stocks – JPN225 </strong>and <strong>ASX</strong> lifted 0.9% and 0.1%. Wall Street pared its modest early gains and closed in the red. The <strong>US30</strong> was off -0.31% to 33,964, with the <strong>US500</strong> lower by -0.23% to 4320, and the <strong>US100</strong> down -0.09% to 13,212. All were sharply lower for the week too with respective declines of -1.9%, -2.9%, and -3.6%. In fact, it was the worst week for the S&P since the March 10 week that included the SVB collapse.</li>
<li><strong>Commodities – Oil</strong><span> rose this morning at </span><span><span>$90.07</span></span> as expectations of tight supply and signs of stronger economic performance in China and the US boosted prices. <strong>Russia</strong> last week banned the export of diesel and petrol, adding to supply pressures after the country joined <strong>Saudi Arabia</strong> in extending oil production cuts to the end of this year. <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-rally-hedge-funds-001424424.html"><strong>Hedge Funds</strong></a> join bullish bets on oil.</li>
<li><b>Gold</b> rebounded to $<span>1927.15 <span>but overall remains sideways</span></span>.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Today</strong>: ECB President Lagarde speech.</p>
<p><a href="https://forextraderhub.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14.png"><img decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-733065" src="https://forextraderhub.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14.png" alt="" srcset="/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14.png 1640w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14-300×169.png 300w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14-1024×577.png 1024w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14-768×433.png 768w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14-1536×865.png 1536w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14-696×392.png 696w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14-1068×602.png 1068w, /wp-content/uploads/2023/09/TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-14-745×420.png 745w" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Interesting Mover: BTCUSD</strong> is down for a 4th day in a row, retesting <strong>$26,000.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Click </strong><a href="https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html"><strong>here</strong></a><strong> to access our Economic Calendar</strong></p>
<p><strong>Andria Pichidi<br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>Market Analyst</strong></p>
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