ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Australian inflation surge slows a little

<ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/the-swiss-national-bank-will-be-publishing-a-report-on-monetary-policy-on-wednesday-20230628/">The Swiss National Bank will be publishing a report on monetary policy on Wednesday</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/boj-will-intervene-if-usdjpy-threatens-break-of-150-intervention-the-last-option-20230628/">BOJ will intervene if USD/JPY threatens break of 150: "intervention … the last option"</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/china-industrial-profits-data-for-may-fall-again-nbs-cites-hit-from-insufficient-demand-20230628/">China industrial profits data for May fall again – NBS cites hit from insufficient demand</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/australian-dollar-marked-lower-with-the-cpi-data-coming-in-well-under-what-was-expected-20230628/">Australian dollar marked lower with the CPI data coming in well under what was expected</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/australian-monthly-cpi-february-56-yy-vs-expected-61-20230628/">Australian monthly CPI (May) 5.6% y/y (vs. expected 6.1%)</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/pboc-sets-usd-cny-mid-point-today-at-72101-vs-estimate-at-72092-20230628/">PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.2101 (vs. estimate at 7.2092)</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/on-usdjpy-towards-145-we-are-now-approaching-fx-intervention-territory-20230628/">On USD/JPY towards 145: "We are now approaching FX intervention territory "</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/data-on-tuesday-showed-inflation-well-off-its-highs-in-canada-bank-of-canada-implication-20230628/">Data on Tuesday showed inflation well off its highs in Canada – Bank of Canada implication</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/an-optimistic-take-on-promises-from-chinas-premier-li-qiang-for-stimulus-measures-20230628/">An optimistic take on promises from China’s Premier Li Qiang for stimulus measures</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/145-150-in-usdjpy-nominated-as-the-area-to-watch-for-bank-of-japan-yen-intervention-20230627/">145-150 in USD/JPY nominated as the area to watch for Bank of Japan yen intervention</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/jp-morgans-kolanovic-doesnt-like-stocks-for-h2-2023-risk-reward-remains-unattractive-20230627/">JP Morgan’s Kolanovic doesn't like stocks for H2 2023: "risk-reward remains unattractive"</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/japans-kanda-yen-intervention-guy-says-will-take-appropriate-action-in-excessive-moves-20230627/">Japan's Kanda (yen intervention guy) says will take appropriate action in excessive moves</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/goldman-sachs-raised-their-q2-us-economic-growth-tracking-estimate-due-to-better-data-flow-20230627/">Goldman Sachs raised their Q2 US economic growth tracking estimate due to better data flow</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/wall-street-journal-us-considers-new-curbs-on-ai-chip-exports-to-china-20230627/">Wall Street Journal: U.S. Considers New Curbs on AI Chip Exports to China</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/us-president-biden-says-the-economy-is-so-strong-now-that-he-doesnt-expect-a-recession-20230627/">US President Biden says the economy is so strong now that he doesn't expect a recession</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/its-a-fed-ecb-boj-boe-bonanaza-today-powell-lagarde-ueda-bailey-all-speaking-20230627/">It's a FED, ECB, BOJ, BOE bonanaza today – Powell, Lagarde, Ueda, Bailey all speaking</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/barclays-says-there-are-cautious-warning-signals-the-us-labor-market-is-cooling-20230627/">Barclays says there are "cautious warning signals" the US labor market is cooling</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/forexlive-americas-fx-news-wrap-us-consumer-confidence-jumps-20230627/">Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: US consumer confidence jumps</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/private-oil-survey-data-shows-larger-headline-crude-draw-than-was-expected-20230627/">Private oil survey data shows larger headline crude draw than was expected</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/trade-ideas-thread-wednesday-28-june-2023-20230627/">Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 28 June 2023</a></li></ul><p>
The
Australian dollar took a hit during the session on the release of May
2023 monthly inflation data. This came in at 5.6%, well below the
6.1% consensus mid-point estimate. Core measures for the month
remained above 6% but it was the headline that the market responded
to, immediately marking down the AUD. While the monthly CPI print has
caveats, the data does not cover the entire ‘basket’ that the
quarterly CPI does for example, we don’t get the more reliable
quarterly data until late in July. The Reserve Bank of Australia meet
next week, July 4, and it would appear the data today is enough for
the Bank to leave its cash rate unchanged at this meeting.
</p><p>While
AUD/USD lost ground sharply there losses against the USD also for
NZD, CAD, EUR, GBP and CHF, so it wasn’t entirely an AUD story.
</p><p>From
China today we had</p><ul><li>the
People’s Bank of China setting the CNY reference rate nearly bang
on 7.21, keeping offshore yuan well off its lows of the week</li><li>further
slumping industrial profits data, for May. While these were not as
weak as in April they were still negative y/y</li></ul><p>USD/JPY
is little changed on the session. We had some yen-supportive remarks
from Japan's Finance Ministry's Vice Finance Minister for
International Affairs Kanda. He is the guy who will instruct the BOJ
to intervene, when he judges it necessary and is often referred to as
Japan's 'top currency diplomat'. USD/JPY dipped under 143.80 but has
since traded back up above 144.00.</p><p>Earlier
in the session the Wall Street Journal reported that the Biden
administration is considering new restrictions on exports of
artificial intelligence chips to China. This kept NQ well away from
the highs it managed on Tuesday, US time, and weighed on tech stocks
in China also.
</p><p>As
I post oil prices are firming a touch, with WTI futures heading
towards $68. During the US afternoon the privately surveyed inventory
data showed a larger than expected headline crude draw.
</p><p>Asian
equity markets:</p><ul><li><p>
Japan’s
Nikkei 225 +0.9%</p></li><li><p>
China’s
Shanghai Composite -0.6%</p></li><li><p>
Hong
Kong’s Hang Seng -0.2%</p></li><li><p>
South
Korea’s KOSPI -0.5%</p></li><li><p>
Australia’s
S&amp;P/ASX 200 +1%
</p></li></ul><p>Tracking NQ on Globex:</p><p align="left">
(This
chart is from our charting app, which is free and <a href="https://www.forexlive.com/LiveCharts">can
be found at this link</a>)</p>

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

Leave a Comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *