Euro Sets the Stage for an Eleventh Weekly Loss, Where Will EUR/USD Find Support?
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<h2>Euro, EUR/USD, Technical Analysis, Retail Trader Positioning – IGCS Update</h2>
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<li><span>Euro</span><span> is on course for an 11th consecutive weekly loss</span></li>
<li><span>Retail traders maintaining increasingly bearish bets</span></li>
<li><span>EUR/USD</span><span> on course to set new lows for this year?</span></li>
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<p>The Euro fell about -0.5 percent against the US Dollar on Monday. Now, EUR/USD is on course for an 11th consecutive weekly loss, matching the longest losing streak on record back in 1997. In response, retail traders have increased upside exposure. This can be seen by taking a look at IG Client Sentiment (IGCS), which often functions as a contrarian indicator. With that in mind, will the Euro extend its losing streak?</p>
<h3>EUR/USD Sentiment Outlook – Bearish</h3>
<p>The IGCS gauge shows that about 72% of retail traders are net-long EUR/USD. Since the majority of them are biased to the upside, this continues to hint that prices may fall down the road. This is as upside exposure increased by 12.82% and 6.9% compared to yesterday and last week, respectively. With that in mind, the combination of overall positioning and recent changes produces a stronger bearish contrarian trading bias.</p>
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<span><br />
<span data-stream-type="sentiment" data-market- data-value="–" data-type="long-value-info"><br />
</span><br />
<span>of clients are </span><span>net long.</span> </span><br />
<span><br />
<span data-stream-type="sentiment" data-market- data-value="–" data-type="short-value-info"><br />
</span><br />
<span>of clients are </span><span>net short.</span> </span>
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<table>
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<td>
Change in </td>
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Longs </td>
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Shorts </td>
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OI </td>
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<td>Daily</td>
<td>13%</td>
<td>-2%</td>
<td>8%</td>
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<td>Weekly</td>
<td>7%</td>
<td>-20%</td>
<td>-3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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<p><img decoding="async" loading="lazy" src="https://a.c-dn.net/b/1qw6cM/image1.png" alt="EUR/USD Client Positioning" data-image-original-width="1800" data-image-original-height="1200" width="1800" height="1200" class="dfx-lazyload" style="padding-bottom: calc(1200 / 1800 * 100%);" /></p>
<h3>Euro Daily Chart</h3>
<p>On the daily chart below, EUR/USD broke under the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level at 1.0631. That has exposed the March low of 1.0516 as immediate support. Meanwhile, the falling trendline from July continues to guide the exchange rate lower.</p>
<p>As such, in the event of a turn higher, the trendline may hold as key resistance, maintaining a broadly bearish technical bias. Meanwhile, confirming a breakout under the March low. Establishing new lows for this year exposes the 100% level at 1.0436.</p>
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<p><img decoding="async" loading="lazy" src="https://a.c-dn.net/b/0mOwIb/image2.png" alt="Euro Daily Chart" data-image-original-width="1365" data-image-original-height="728" width="1365" height="728" class="dfx-lazyload" style="padding-bottom: calc(728 / 1365 * 100%);" /></p>
<p><span>Chart Created in Trading View</span></p>
<p><span>— Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Senior Strategist for DailyFX.com</span></p>
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<br /><a href="https://www.dailyfx.com/analysis/euro-sets-the-stage-for-an-eleventh-weekly-loss-where-will-eur-usd-find-support-20230925.html">Source link </a></p><p>The post <a href="https://forextraderhub.com/euro-sets-the-stage-for-an-eleventh-weekly-loss-where-will-eur-usd-find-support.html">Euro Sets the Stage for an Eleventh Weekly Loss, Where Will EUR/USD Find Support?</a> first appeared on <a href="https://forextraderhub.com">Forex Trader Hub</a>.</p>
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