Australia – RBA announce a +25bp interest rate hike, as widely expected

<p>Reserve Bank of Australia with their 13th cash rate hike since they began this hiking cycle in May of 2022.</p><p>Headlines via Reuters:</p><ul><li>
Board remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to
target</li><li>CPI inflation is now
expected to be around 3½ per cent by the end of 2024 and
at the top of the target range of 2 to 3 per cent by
the end of 2025.</li><li>Board judged an
increase in interest rates was warranted today to be more assured
that inflation would return to target in a reasonable timeframe.</li><li>Whether further
tightening of monetary policy is required to ensure that inflation
returns to target in a reasonable time frame will depend upon the
data and the evolving assessment of risks</li><li>Still significant
uncertainties around the outlook</li><li>Services price
inflation has been surprisingly persistent overseas and the same
could occur in Australia</li><li>To date, medium-term
inflation expectations have been consistent with the inflation target
and it is important that this remains the case</li><li>High inflation is
weighing on people’s real incomes and household consumption growth
is weak, as is dwelling investment</li><li>Wages growth has
picked up over the past year but is still consistent with the
inflation target, provided that productivity growth picks up</li><li>Weight of
information suggests that the risk of inflation remaining higher for
longer has increased.</li></ul><p>Bolding above is mine. The RBA doesn't know if this is the peak for rates and have allowed the option of more if needed. </p><p>Given how widely expected this cash rate rise was its no surprise to see AUD/USD a little lower after the announcement. </p><p>Full text:</p><ul><li><a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2023/mr-23-30.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Statement by Michele Bullock, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision</a></li></ul><p>Still ahead in 10 minutes time:</p><ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/australian-treasurer-chalmers-to-speak-on-the-rba-interest-rate-decision-right-after-20231107/" target="_blank" rel="follow" data-article-link="true">Australian Treasurer Chalmers to speak on the RBA interest rate decision right after</a></li></ul><p>—</p><p>Background:</p><ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-due-imminently-preview-20231107/" target="_self">Reserve Bank of Australia decision due imminently, preview</a></li></ul><ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/reserve-bank-of-australia-expected-to-hike-its-cash-rate-by-25bp-today-but-a-close-call-20231107/" target="_self">Reserve Bank of Australia expected to hike its cash rate by 25bp today, but "a close call"</a></li></ul><ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/former-rba-board-member-on-ways-to-lower-australian-inflation-why-rba-will-hike-today-20231106/" target="_blank" data-article-link="true">Former RBA Board member on ways to lower Australian inflation (&amp; why RBA will hike today)</a></li></ul><ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/rba-shadow-board-recommends-a-rate-hike-at-tomorrows-monetary-policy-meeting-20231106/" target="_blank" data-article-link="true">RBA Shadow Board recommends a rate hike at tomorrow's monetary policy meeting</a></li></ul><ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/failure-to-act-on-high-cpi-threatens-to-damage-the-reserve-bank-of-australias-credibility-20231026/" target="_blank" data-article-link="true">Failure to act on high CPI threatens to damage the Reserve Bank of Australia's credibility</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/reuters-poll-rba-to-high-cash-rate-to-435-on-november-7-20231103/" target="_blank" data-article-link="true">Reuters Poll: RBA to high cash rate to 4.35% on November 7</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/imf-tells-the-rba-to-hike-interest-rates-higher-and-hold-em-high-for-longer-20231101/" target="_blank" data-article-link="true">IMF tells the RBA to hike interest rates higher, and hold 'em high for longer</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/westpac-now-forecasting-a-november-reserve-bank-of-australia-rate-hike-20231026/" target="_self">Westpac forecasting a November Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike</a></li></ul><ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/ubs-forecasts-a-november-rba-interest-rate-hike-and-likely-more-to-come-after-that-20231025/" target="_blank" data-article-link="true">UBS forecasts a November RBA interest rate hike, and likely more to come after that</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/rba-rate-hike-incoming-on-november-7-will-they-hike-again-in-december-20231025/" target="_self">RBA rate hike incoming on November 7 – will they hike again in December?</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/commonwealth-bank-of-australia-forecast-a-25bp-rba-rate-hike-on-november-7-20231025/" target="_self">Commonwealth Bank of Australia forecast a 25bp RBA rate hike on November 7</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/australia-demand-for-luxury-supercars-through-the-roof-20231025/" target="_self">Australia – Demand for luxury supercars "through the roof"</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/australian-treasurer-chalmers-says-inflation-is-moderating-but-persistent-20231025/" target="_self">Australian Treasurer Chalmers says inflation is moderating but persistent</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/anz-forecasts-a-25bp-rba-interest-rate-hike-on-november-7-previous-forecast-was-december-20231025/" target="_self">ANZ forecasts a 25bp RBA interest rate hike on November 7 (previous forecast was December)</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/australia-market-is-rapidly-pricing-in-a-november-rate-hike-after-surging-inflation-data-20231025/" target="_self">Australia – market is rapidly pricing in a November rate hike after surging inflation data</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/audusd-jumped-higher-on-australian-inflation-data-november-7-rate-hike-is-likely-now-20231025/" target="_self">AUD/USD jumped higher on Australian inflation data, November 7 rate hike is likely now.</a></li></ul>

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.