Goldman Sachs on the Fed vs. the ECB. Fed done hiking. One more to come from the ECB.
<p>Goldman Sachs comments on the Federal Reserve vs. the European Central Bank.</p><p align="left">
This
summary is via the folks at eFX.
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</p><p>Goldman Sachs anticipates the Fed's hiking cycle to be complete, while one final hike from the ECB is in the forecast. </p><p>
Key Points: </p><ul><li>Fed's Stance: Goldman believes that the Fed has wrapped up its cycle of rate hikes, with the intention of maintaining the current Fed funds rate range of 5.25-5.5% till 2024. The first rate reduction is anticipated in the second quarter of 2024, which is expected to proceed at a pace of 25bp per quarter. The projected stabilization for the Fed funds rate range is between 3-3.25%. </li><li>ECB's Next Moves: For the European Central Bank, Goldman forecasts a final rate hike of 25 basis points in September, leading to a terminal rate of 4.00%. This expectation is grounded in the persistent services inflation observed in Europe. Post this hike, the ECB is predicted to stay on hold until the fourth quarter of 2024.</li></ul>
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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