ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Two moves from the PBOC sent the yuan surging
<ul><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/heads-up-for-the-final-japan-inflation-report-before-next-weeks-boj-meeting-20230720/">Heads up for the final Japan inflation report before next week's BOJ meeting</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/over-half-of-surveyed-analysts-expect-a-july-september-european-centralbank-rate-hike-20230720/">Over half of surveyed analysts expect a July & September European Central Bank rate hike</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/icymi-yuan-rocketed-higher-with-the-pboc-slamming-the-fix-and-promoting-capital-inflow-20230720/">ICYMI – yuan rocketed higher with the PBOC slamming the fix, and promoting capital inflow</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/audusd-higher-stronger-yuan-fix-good-jobs-reprot-20230720/">AUD/USD higher – stronger yuan fix, good jobs report</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/australia-june-jobs-326k-vs-15k-expected-unemployment-rate-35-vs-36-exp-20230720/">Australia (June ) Jobs +32.6K (vs. +15K expected) & Unemployment rate 3.5% (vs. 3.6% exp)</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/pboc-eases-cross-border-funding-20230720/">PBOC eases cross-border funding</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/pboc-sets-usd-cny-reference-rate-for-today-at-7-1466-vs-estimate-at-72233-20230720/">PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7. 1466 (vs. estimate at 7.2233)</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/pboc-loan-prime-rates-lpr-remain-unchanged-at-todays-rate-setting-as-expected-20230720/">PBOC Loan Prime Rates (LPR) remain unchanged at today's rate setting, as expected</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/october-is-now-the-month-most-cited-as-the-likely-timing-for-a-boj-policy-change-20230720/">October is now the month most cited as the likely timing for a BOJ policy change</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/citi-ubs-daiwa-have-all-come-to-the-defense-of-chinese-banks-after-goldman-was-critical-20230720/">Citi, UBS, Daiwa have all come to the defense of Chinese banks after Goldman was critical</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/japan-data-june-exports-15-yy-expected-22-imports-129-yy-expected-113-20230719/">Japan data – June exports +1.5% y/y (expected +2.2%) Imports -12.9% y/y (expected -11.3%)</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/citi-says-gold-could-go-as-high-as-us2150-in-h1-of-2024-20230719/">Citi says gold could go as high as US$2,150 in H1 of 2024</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/bank-of-japan-governor-ueda-comments-this-week-have-watered-down-ycc-tweak-expectations-20230719/">Bank of Japan Governor Ueda comments this week have watered down YCC tweak expectations</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/australian-employment-market-report-due-today-preview-20230719/">Australian employment market report due today – preview</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/peoples-bank-of-china-loan-prime-rate-setting-due-today-no-rate-change-is-expected-20230719/">People's Bank of China Loan Prime Rate Setting due today – no rate change is expected</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/3-conditions-are-required-for-the-us-dollar-to-resume-its-downtrend-hsbc-20230719/">3 conditions are required for the US dollar to resume its downtrend – HSBC</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/goldman-sachs-says-long-cad-not-preferred-to-capture-us-dollar-weakness-20230719/">Goldman Sachs says long CAD not preferred to capture US dollar weakness</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/zion-bancorp-eps-111-versus-expected-109-deposits-are-higher-for-the-regional-bank-20230719/">Zion Bancorp: EPS $1.11 versus expected $1.09. Deposits are higher for the regional bank</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/forexlive-americas-fx-news-wrap-us-dollar-strengthens-and-then-gives-some-back-20230719/">Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: US dollar strengthens and then gives some back</a></li><li><a href="https://www.forexlive.com/news/trade-ideas-thread-thursday-20-july-2023-20230719/">Trade ideas thread – Thursday, 20 July 2023</a></li></ul><p>
The
attention on the People’s Bank of China’s loan prime rate (LPR)
setting today was misplaced. These, the one- and five-year, were left
unchanged as expected. The PBOC instead sent markets into a frenzy
with two moves:</p><p>the
Bank set the USD/CNY reference rate more than 700 points lower than
the reported expected (see bullets above), smashing yuan shorts again</p><p>the
Bank also eased its macro-prudential adjustment parameter, raising it
to 1.5 from 1.25. The effect of this move is on bostering companies’
and financial institutions' cross-border financing, enabling more
foreign capital inflows. The macro-prudential adjustment parameter is
a multiplier that determines the upper limit of outstanding
cross-border financing an institution can have.</p><p>Yuan
rocketed stronger on the moves.</p><p>The
Australian dollar gained strength on the moves also, AUD likes a
strong yuan as it, in effect, gives more $ to China to buy Australian
goods and services. AUD was also bolstered by another (in a long,
long series) of solid employment reports. The unemployment rate fell
in June to 3.5%, barely up from a 48 year low. If next week’s CPI
report from Australia shows still strong inflation the health of the
labour market will not stand in the way of the Reserve Bank of
Australia hiking again, should they have the gumption. And yes, I am
aware that the unemployment rate is a lagging indicator and that
indications suggest that the unemployment rate will drift higher over
the coming months … but I’ve been hearing that for a long, long
time now. I guess eventually it’ll be right. Like inflation is
transitory … eventually.
</p><p>The
USD weakened further pretty much across the majors board. EUR, NZD,
CAD, GBP, CHF and even the yen all gained.
</p><p>Asian
equity markets:</p><ul><li><p>
Japan’s
Nikkei 225 -1.1%</p></li><li><p>
China’s
Shanghai Composite -0.1%</p></li><li><p>
Hong
Kong’s Hang Seng +0.4%</p></li><li><p>
South
Korea’s KOSPI 0.0%</p></li><li><p>
Australia’s
S&P/ASX 200 +0.2%
</p></li></ul>
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
Leave a Comment